Glicko Ratings Logo

I want to thank The Cruncher (@thecruncherau) for allowing me to use his logo design. I suggest that you all go and follow him, he does tips for the AFL and NRL.

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

For Squiggle Bot 2023

  The first sheet is the team model predictions, the second sheet is the player model predictions, the third sheet is team ratings and the final sheet will be simulations (once I code it). Player model tips should take priority over team model tips.
Read more

Model Rework Part I (The c-value)

  Introduction The model I had used for the 2021 AFL season was not satisfactory for the beginning of this season, and hence I made a minor adjustment which significantly improved performance. However, I am still not achieving the results which I desire. Therefore, before the 2023 AFL season in March; I will take a similar process before the 2023 AFL women's competition as well; I will be documenting my progress in my model rework in a long multi-part series of blog posts. Philosophy As the name of the blog suggests, I will continue to use glicko rating (an elo-based system) as the backbone of my model. For the first section of this series, I will be focusing on the team-based model, fully optimising this will allow for a far better player-based model. There are a variety of different parameters which need to be accounted for in the team-based model, and each post in this series will deal with one of them. However, it is important to note that the optimised values for these paramet
Read more

AFL: Round 19 2022

  As we approach the end of the home-and-away season, we will certainly see more and more games which shape the composition and permutation of the finals series. In the most recent simulation replicates, fourteen teams qualified for finals (sixteen mathematically), and eleven teams earned a double-chance (twelve mathematically). West Coast and North Melbourne remain the only teams which are mathematically eliminated. Five teams have all but qualified for finals (Geelong, Melbourne, Sydney, Brisbane, and Fremantle), and Geelong have almost guaranteed a double chance. Let's get into this weeks games. RICHMOND vs. FREMANTLE Friday July 22 1950hrs @ Docklands. Richmond playing their "home" game at Damien Hardwick's favourite venue. My model has a very questionable tip considering it's ignorance on players. Dustin Martin and Tom Lynch will miss another round of football, and those outs suggest to me that this match is much closer to a coinflip than the model is suggest
Read more