Introduction The model I had used for the 2021 AFL season was not satisfactory for the beginning of this season, and hence I made a minor adjustment which significantly improved performance. However, I am still not achieving the results which I desire. Therefore, before the 2023 AFL season in March; I will take a similar process before the 2023 AFL women's competition as well; I will be documenting my progress in my model rework in a long multi-part series of blog posts. Philosophy As the name of the blog suggests, I will continue to use glicko rating (an elo-based system) as the backbone of my model. For the first section of this series, I will be focusing on the team-based model, fully optimising this will allow for a far better player-based model. There are a variety of different parameters which need to be accounted for in the team-based model, and each post in this series will deal with one of them. However, it is important to note that the optimised values for these paramet...
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